Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.002255 0.002386 0.002524 0.002683 0.002860 0.003055 0.003284
2025-02-02 0.002058 0.002239 0.002441 0.002688 0.002983 0.003332 0.003784
2025-02-09 0.001958 0.002176 0.002431 0.002756 0.003170 0.003694 0.004438
2025-02-16 0.001857 0.002096 0.002384 0.002765 0.003274 0.003958 0.005010
2025-02-23 0.001811 0.002075 0.002401 0.002851 0.003480 0.004384 0.005912
2025-03-02 0.001724 0.001994 0.002334 0.002813 0.003508 0.004553 0.006452
2025-03-09 0.001638 0.001908 0.002252 0.002747 0.003483 0.004631 0.006851
2025-03-16 0.001606 0.001888 0.002256 0.002798 0.003635 0.005016 0.007962
2025-03-23 0.001574 0.001866 0.002254 0.002839 0.003774 0.005406 0.009267
2025-03-30 0.001523 0.001815 0.002208 0.002810 0.003795 0.005581 0.010156
2025-04-06 0.001461 0.001747 0.002134 0.002732 0.003726 0.005572 0.010551
2025-04-13 0.001418 0.001702 0.002091 0.002699 0.003729 0.005706 0.011450
2025-04-20 0.001335 0.001603 0.001968 0.002540 0.003509 0.005368 0.010765
2025-04-27 0.001308 0.001581 0.001957 0.002557 0.003602 0.005714 0.012667
2025-05-04 0.001298 0.001580 0.001976 0.002623 0.003794 0.006333 0.016512
2025-05-11 0.001273 0.001557 0.001961 0.002632 0.003880 0.006732 0.020286
2025-05-18 0.001267 0.001562 0.001987 0.002710 0.004113 0.007599 0.030704
2025-05-25 0.001234 0.001526 0.001949 0.002676 0.004111 0.007810 0.037127
2025-06-01 0.001197 0.001482 0.001898 0.002616 0.004046 0.007813 0.041391
2025-06-08 0.001187 0.001478 0.001907 0.002662 0.004219 0.008644 0.077240
2025-06-15 0.001176 0.001471 0.001911 0.002700 0.004377 0.009528 0.239269
2025-06-22 0.001151 0.001443 0.001882 0.002673 0.004383 0.009840 1.122633
2025-06-29 0.001118 0.001403 0.001830 0.002602 0.004276 0.009661 2.544577